
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
YouTube
Avg. Quality
74
Success Rate
9.03
Analysis
155
Correct
14
Fail
25
Pending
109
Ineffective
0
Total Quality
Score
If You Had Traded on This Analysis…
Pending

ASML
Short Entry
808.0100
2025-09-12
15:45 UTC
Target
705.3600
Fail
850.0000
Risk/Reward
1 : 2
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The video compares ASML and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) based on financial metrics. It mentions that Artificial Intelligence is creating an increase in demand for their manufacturing services. Trade barriers are creating confusion for both companies. The video reviews the revenue growth comparing ASML and TSM, the first being 6.8 billion in 2015 to 37.9 billion, while TSM went from 25.6 billion to 116.3 billion. ASML revenue growth has a CAGR of 19.8%, while TMSC has a CAGR of 17.3%. Looking forward TSMC is forecasting better revenue growth for the next 1 to 3 years. One of ASML customers, Intel, has paused production due to a change in manufacturing capabilities. TMSC has operating margins of 48.8%. The management team indicated that their margins will be under pressure as TMSC continues expansion, but still investors believe TMSC can increase prices. ROIC (Return on invested capital) is 31.1% for TMSC and 24.9% for ASML. Fair value is 705 dollars for ASML and current market price is 803 dollars. The video identifies a fair value for TSM at 185 compared to a price of 253.