Verified by TP AI

This analysis has a 95.28% probability of being Failure

Estimated by Tahlil Plus AI using 1,842,000 records across the last 90 days.

Total Quality
Score
If You Had Traded on This Analysis…
Fail
BTCUSDT
Short Entry 113,343.0000 2025-08-20 02:39 UTC
Target 109,909.0000 Fail 115,959.0000 In 2 Days
Risk/Reward 1 : 1
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Final PnL
-2.31%
P/L:
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BTCUSDT
Fail
Cryptocurrency
Technical
1H
Analysis Predict Bear Market
The analysis focuses on the short-term chart for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on a one-hour timeframe. The speaker discusses a potential five-wave decline, suggesting that such a pattern would confirm a major top formation. A support zone is identified between $101,569.85 and $112,954.34. A key line in the sand is set at $101,569 for this scenario. The speaker mentions adjusting a support zone based on the price action, noting that a previous zone isn't invalidated but refined. Due to the price retracing to the August low, and microstructures misaligning with a 1-2 setup, it is assumed a larger wave 4 is unfolding. A five wave move down is necessary to confirm a major top, or it is not possible to confirm such level. The speaker points out that, unless a break above $115,948.63 happens, downward pressure will continue. Fibonacci support is noted at around $112,954. A WXY structure with an ABC within Y is possible. On a 15 minutes chart, a five-wave move down on Wave C, and that micro support levels could lead the price to 111k. A breakout of the green line near 114k would indicate a low has formed.
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