@thepatientinvestorr

YouTube

Avg. Quality

71

Success Rate

0.00

Analysis

28
Correct
0
Fail
5
Pending
18
Ineffective
0
Total Quality
Score
If You Had Traded on This Analysis…
Pending
DUOL
Entry 340.5800 2025-08-11 22:31 UTC
Target 582.0000
Fail 291.0000
Risk / Reward 1 : 5
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DUOL
Pending
Stocks
Fundamental
1H
Analysis Predict Bull Market
Body
The video presents a fundamental analysis of Duolingo (DUOL) stock, initiated due to high investor demand. The company is described as a potential disruptor in the $500-700 billion education market, currently holding a $16 billion market cap. The analysis reviews Duolingo's Q2 2025 financial metrics, noting a 41% year-over-year revenue increase, an 84% increase in net income, and a 31% adjusted EBITDA margin. It's explained that Duolingo generates revenue primarily through converting monthly active users into paid subscribers and through advertising revenue, the MAUs are over 128 million while the paid subs are near 11 million, and the advertising revenue grows at 30% CAGR. The key metric discussed is the churn rate, benchmarked at 28% against competitors such as Babbel. A bullish long-term outlook is set, using earnings per share growth rate with 30x PE ratio over the next 5 years. Under the numbers the upside is 57%, this translates to a target of $582. Analysis is invalidated if the price is at $291 or lower.
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